Predictions!

October 11, 2009 at 12:02 am Leave a comment

Nothing is more fun and more pointless, don’t you think?

AL Cy Young

Zack Greinke – He’s crazy. He is a crazy person. No one else pitches as awesomely as he does. He’s got you in newer and more effective metrics of performance like FIP and ERA+. He’s got you in old school numbers like ERA and strikeouts. I’ll write up a post about how wins don’t matter at all when evaluating a pitcher. It’s been an ongoing argument between my dad and I, but in this instance, let’s say wins don’t matter. Because they don’t; particularly with Zack Greinke. He made Joe Mauer look retarded the first time he faced him this year (Mauer adjusted later, of course). He threw this insane slider cutter thing that, had it continued on its initial course, would have hit Mauer in the balls. But then it darted right into the inner half of the plate. Not particularly hittable, in my estimation. Guys gotta protect his balls.

Zack Greinke #23 of the Kansa City Royals poses during photo day at Surprise Stadium on February 22, 2009 in Surprise, Arizona.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Zack Greinke

Al Rookie of the Year

Andrew Bailey – Contrary to how this will get voted, this choice is obvious. Bailey is awesome, and I don’t know where he came from. A 226 ERA+?? 9.8 K/9, 5.3 H/9. That’s phenomenal. If there were a more worthy candidate, perhaps on a better team, maybe I would consider that player. But Rick Porcello was slightly better than league average, Gordon Beckham was better than decent but got called up midway through the year, Elvis Andrus can’t hit yet, despite how you want to construe his 85 OPS+, and Jeff Niemman is only slightly better than Porcello. At least he pitched in the Al East.

Andrew Bailey #40 of the Oakland Athletics pitches against the Baltimore Orioles at the Oakland Coliseum on June 7, 2009 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Andrew Bailey

Al MVP

Joe Mauer – He leads the league in everything that matters. His team managed to make the playoffs, too, so you can’t even pull the ‘no meaningful games’ card.

Player Mauer

.365 / .444 / .587 / 177

Player B

.292 / .383 / .565 / 146

Player C

.334 / .406 / .465 / 129

Player D

.300 / .369 / .539 / 143

Those are the standard slash lines plus OPS+ in the last column. Obviously Mauer is a million times better than the other candidates, which you may recognize as first Mark Texiera then Derek Jeter. But who is this player D character? That’s Jason Kubel. Yeah he doesn’t play much defense and isn’t the best against lefties, but clearly you get the idea that he’s closer in proximity to Jeter and Texiera than those Yankees are in proximity to Mauer. That’s all.

Joe Mauer #7 of the Minnesota Twins circles the field after the Twins defeated  the Detroit Tigers to win the American League Tiebreaker game on October 6, 2009 at Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

That’s the AL. Why not the NL tomorrow then?

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